JLivi wrote: ↑Mon Feb 24, 2020 2:40 pm
Roth would be good for single musicians, who aren't rock star celebrities
Personally, I'm in a traditional IRA because I'm married and in a higher tax bracket due to the combined income. I'm also 20-30 years away from retirement. Who knows what tax laws will be in effect by then. So for right now we're taking the tax benefit.
Hmmmm...
20 to 30 years of compounded gains in the market could add up to a really huge gain. Let's say...:
1. You are doing reasonably ok. So you can contribute about $2500 a year to your IRA. Maybe you've already got 30k in there.
2. You can conservatively hope for an 8% average annual gain. This is less than the historical average, but who knows?
3. In 30 years, you'll have $607,000 in your IRA, but you only contributed about $100k of that. The remaining $500k is all gain.
I am wracking my brain to think of a situation where someone can offset their annual income enough with a measly IRA contribution (even the $6000 max) to make the tax savings of being in a slightly lower tax bracket offset and beat having to pay taxes on $500,000 of capital gains in their retirement account as they withdraw the money. And if you're reducing your income by $6000 (the full contribution) each year, your IRA will be above $1,000,000 with the conditions above.
With two people, under the best circumstances you're reducing your income by $12,000. The more you make, the less impact that has on your tax bracket. They say that it makes sense for the super rich to use traditional IRAs (if they make more than 200k, that's the only option), but I'm imagining a family with an income of $180,000. A $12,000 dent in that income probably won't shift the tax bracket at all. Someone with some investing know how or stock options in that situation would be a fool to not use the Roth because they probably have even more opportunity for a massive capital gain.
Speaking of stock options -- and this is now off topic -- there are lots of people making sizeable income who can put stock options from their job into a Roth IRA or Roth 401K, and they are getting these for pennies on the dollar (pre IPO, etc). Take Facebook for example. Pre IPO, some employees could put $5500 of FB stock into their Roth at $5 a share, or whatever the made up value was -- it could have been $.05 for all I know. Maybe they got to do that for a few years. FB is now publicly traded and those shares are around $200 each. You do the math. They won't pay a dime on the gains, and FB is still a very young company.